Another New England summer has come and gone, and the region is currently reveling in the glorious color and temperatures of autumn. And whether you like it or not, the 2021-2022 winter season is right around the corner.
The Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a “typical winter chill” for New England this winter, with a “stormy” January and “tranquil” February. The Farmers’ Almanac has released weather predictions for more than 200 years based on solar patterns, historical weather conditions and current solar activity, the annual weather book’s website says.
The almanac’s “time-tested” winter formula awaited by many each year predicts there will be notable month-to-month variations this coming winter, but overall, snowfall will come at a “near-normal” amount.
“There will be snow, but probably not as much as snow-sport enthusiasts might dream of,” the almanac says. The region — the book does not make predictions for each state — could, however, be in for a few major storms.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, which was founded before the Farmers’ Almanac, is predicting a “season of shivers,” and its editor, Janice Stillman, has said it could be “one of the longest and coldest we’ve seen in years.”
Tough winter ahead?:Apparently, if you believe ‘The Old Farmer’s Almanac’
What does the Farmers’ Almanac say about winter 2021-2022 in New England?
January will begin with milder temperatures, according to predictions, and develop more bite as the month moves along. “Overall, the month will be stormy, especially along the Atlantic Seaboard,” the almanac writes, forecasting stretches of rain, snow, sleet and ice.
February is predicted to be much quieter. But as the month winds down, make sure to get your shovels and snowblowers ready, as a “winter whopper” is forecasted by the almanac for parts of the Northeast toward the end February.
The Northeast is predicted to see three major storms – in the second week of January, the final week of February and the second week of March.
How do the Old Farmer’s Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac make predictions?
The Old Farmer’s Almanac was founded in 1792 by Robert B. Thomas, and initially made predictions according to sunspots. Today, it incorporates meteorology and climatology by using solar science and activity, weather patterns and more.
The Farmers’ Almanac, which is slightly different from the Old Farmer’s Almanac and was founded in 1818, uses sunspot activity, tidal action of the moon, the position of the planets and other factors.
Both the Old Farmer’s Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac claim to have secret formulas. The only person who allegedly knows the exact formula of the Farmers’ Almanac is its weather prognosticator who goes by the pseudonym Caleb Weatherbee.
Published reports have said the Farmers’ Almanac takes into account climate change, while the Old Farmer’s Almanac doesn’t yet.
Are the Farmer’s Almanacs’ predictions accurate?
So, how accurate are the predictions each year?
“We believe that nothing in the universe happens haphazardly, that there is a cause-and-effect pattern to all phenomena,” the Old Farmer’s Almanac wrote in an August post answering the very question. “However, although neither we nor any other forecasters have as yet gained sufficient insights into the mysteries of the universe to predict the weather with total accuracy, our results are almost always close to our traditional claim of 80% accuracy.”
The accuracy rate of the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s forecast for last winter was lower than most years – 72.2% accurate when it came to predicting the change in temperature, and 77.8% accurate at forecasting the change in precipitation, the almanac said. For example, the almanac predicted that snow would be greater than normal in the Northeast, but the actual area was more south and consolidated, from Connecticut to Philadelphia.
The Farmers’ Almanac also claims an accurate rate, about 80-85%.
Reporting by Gannett reporters Trevor Ballantyne and Toni Caushi was used in this story.
(this story/news/article has not been edited by PostX News staff and is published from a syndicated feed)